Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.491553 0.563661 0.641933 0.733107 0.836297 0.949361 1.082533
2025-02-23 0.372137 0.467333 0.579522 0.721092 0.894548 1.099700 1.360271
2025-03-02 0.288061 0.393789 0.528265 0.710900 0.951402 1.256090 1.669997
2025-03-09 0.232474 0.344029 0.496332 0.717655 1.028897 1.448450 2.053767
2025-03-16 0.185675 0.296242 0.457624 0.707455 1.080847 1.613707 2.425895
2025-03-23 0.156341 0.267444 0.439898 0.722758 1.169502 1.840578 2.914859
2025-03-30 0.128289 0.234680 0.409835 0.713344 1.218306 2.014118 3.347565
2025-04-06 0.109658 0.213535 0.394145 0.723340 1.297717 2.243242 3.894198
2025-04-13 0.090309 0.187012 0.364375 0.703950 1.324294 2.389112 4.322994
2025-04-20 0.080380 0.175983 0.359976 0.728109 1.428697 2.676604 5.022945
2025-04-27 0.072557 0.167464 0.358603 0.757168 1.545158 2.997793 5.817948
2025-05-04 0.063780 0.155108 0.347464 0.765160 1.622285 3.255941 6.527275
2025-05-11 0.055274 0.141780 0.332450 0.763781 1.682576 3.493090 7.232016
2025-05-18 0.048206 0.130259 0.319282 0.764148 1.746451 3.744838 7.994806
2025-05-25 0.042022 0.119514 0.305920 0.761864 1.804303 3.991269 8.775474
2025-06-01 0.037655 0.112413 0.299726 0.774760 1.896734 4.318830 9.757804
2025-06-08 0.032801 0.102896 0.285960 0.767527 1.942795 4.553769 10.572204
2025-06-15 0.029885 0.098114 0.283191 0.786557 2.052042 4.937189 11.745950
2025-06-22 0.026145 0.090032 0.270335 0.778011 2.094166 5.176044 12.627168
2025-06-29 0.023693 0.085294 0.265644 0.789952 2.188139 5.543082 13.835394
2025-07-06 0.020438 0.077173 0.249937 0.769602 2.197555 5.713618 14.608760
2025-07-13 0.019066 0.074995 0.251098 0.796344 2.332990 6.199889 16.175560
2025-07-20 0.017952 0.073450 0.253901 0.828271 2.486518 6.746554 17.941771